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Method and System for Predictive State analysis using historical data

IP.com Disclosure Number: IPCOM000141052D
Original Publication Date: 2006-Sep-29
Included in the Prior Art Database: 2006-Sep-29
Document File: 1 page(s) / 22K

Publishing Venue

IBM

Abstract

A method for preserving the individual steps taken in known, successful completion of a repeatable task and using that recording to predict the success or failure of an ongoing attempt at completion of a same or similar task.

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Method and System for Predictive State analysis using historical data

Computer based systems today are complex entities. They are made of many parts and serve many varied functions. In order to make a particular product perform a certain function in a particular environment, often a significant number of configuration and set-up steps need to be followed. Many of these are straight-forward, but not all are fool-proof. One of the most complex aspects of this problem is that many times an error made in one operation is not noticed until somewhere much further down the line. This will result at least in a waste of time. Often though, the impact is worse yet in that subsequent changes have "wound themselves around" the initial error causing irreparable harm to the system in question.

The goal of this invention is to prevent the above chain of events from occurring, wherever possible. The objective is to create an environment where any misstep or error which will result in that "wrong path taken" be identified as quickly as possible. Identifying an incorrect action quickly will allow correction before follow-on impacts of that mistake can occur.

The invention consists of 3 main parts. The first part is a recording technology. Many of these exist today and can be used. The addition to these existing technologies is that each recording would require the user or system to determine if the stored recording resulted in a 'good' or a 'bad' state being reached. The second technology is a data store, to store the set of recording associated with a product or system. This data store might come prepopulated...

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